FT
Timer editorial. El agregado oficial, el alargue y el pitazo final siempre dependen del feed oficial; esto nunca cambia el call bloqueado del modelo.
Belgium v SenegalMatch image pending
Approved photos or generated visuals appear here first.
Matchday essentials
Belgium vs Senegal: kickoff, venue, model favorite and match route.
BEL advanced 3-2
Official feed confirms the result; advanced stat gaps remain visible instead of filled.
locked pre-match call graded against official resultNota del partidoB2
Nota del partidoC2
Nota del partidoB3
Nota del partidoB2
Nota del partidoB2
Nota del partidoB2
Wednesday, July 1st / 4PM NYC
Lumen Field · Seattle
3-2 · Belgium
forecast · pre-match · ensemble[dixon-coles-goals+history-calibrated] v1.0.0
Belgium · Senegal
Tocá cualquier país para ver su página y estado activo en el torneo.
Belgium
Amadou OnanaMediocampista (MF, defensivo)Aston Villa
Arthur Nicolas R. TheateDefensor central (zurdo); también puede jugar de lateral izquierdoEintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
Jérémy Baffour DokuWinger / forward (plays both flanks)Manchester City F.C.
Kevin De BruyneMediocampista (mediocampista ofensivo / N.º 10)Napoli (Serie A)
Leandro TrossardDelanteroArsenal
Romelu Menama Lukaku BolingoliDelantero (delantero / delantero centro)Napoli (Serie A)
Thibaut Nicolas Marc CourtoisArqueroReal Madrid
Youri Marion A. TielemansMediocampista (central; box-to-box, utilizado como N.º8 y por momentos como N.º10)Aston Villa
Senegal
Édouard Osoque MendyArqueroAl-Ahli Saudi FC
Idrissa Gana GueyeMediocampista / mediocampista defensivoEverton
Kalidou KoulibalyDefender / centre-back; Senegal captainAl-Hilal
Nicolas JacksonDelantero / punta (también extremo)Bayern Munich (on loan from Chelsea)
Pape Matar SarrMediocampista (central / box-to-box)Tottenham Hotspur
Sadio ManéForward / left wingerAl-Nassr
Time is Senegal's ally; separation is Belgium's job.
The model only gives Belgium a modest path-to-advance edge, and the 90-minute draw band is already 28%. That means every scoreless stretch helps Senegal stay inside the match. Belgium's route is to create daylight before this turns into a 120-minute knife-edge.
Belgium 59% · Senegal 41%
Belgium have the edge, but this is close enough that extra time is fully live. It is the least separated of today's three model reads.
locked ensemble forecast · served prediction contractNo served credible interval or vetted market snapshot yet; rendered honestly without them.Read-only market pending
Kalshi / Polymarket / handicap benchmarks have not been served into this contract yet. The site shows the model cleanly rather than inventing a market divergence.
Markets are context; they do not enter the model's locked call.59% Who advances
Belgium are the rightful favourite, but this is not a comfortable favourite.
90+ET+pens46% 90-minute split
Only a 46% regulation win for Belgium means the draw tail is a real part of the story.
reg9028% Extra time is live
Among today's three, this is the tie most likely to still be undecided at the whistle.
reg90FACT · ABelgium enter with a locked 59% advance read, not a heavyweight certainty.data/served/predictions/r32_9.json
FACT · BRudi Garcia's record is strong at club level but Belgium are still early in this national-team cycle.served coach record
FACT · BPape Thiaw arrives off a senior AFCON runner-up run and a CHAN title with Senegal A'.served coach record
FACT · BEdouard Mendy carries major-tournament shootout pedigree into any late-game scenario.served player fact
FACT · BKevin De Bruyne and Thibaut Courtois still anchor Belgium's ceiling at both ends.served player facts
- No full operator dossier or sourced market benchmark has been ingested for this match yet.
- No confirmed XI or late injury sweep has been promoted into the dossier contract yet.
- No sourced tactical divergence note has been served, so the thesis stays model-led rather than scout-led.
- Seattle is the mildest environment of the three matches, so climate should not distort the read.
- The draw band alone makes this the most extra-time-live of today's slate.
- Senegal's keeper pedigree means the tie gets more volatile the longer Belgium leave it unresolved.