FT
Timer editorial. El agregado oficial, el alargue y el pitazo final siempre dependen del feed oficial; esto nunca cambia el call bloqueado del modelo.
R32 · R32_13
Switzerland vs Algeria
BC Place · Vancouver · Thursday, July 2nd / 11PM NYC
Final2-0Switzerland advanced
Matchday essentials
Switzerland vs Algeria: kickoff, venue, model favorite and match route.
SUI made the stat line agree
SUI +0.93 on xG and the final score both point toward the advancing side.
locked pre-match call graded against official resultSUI +0.93
Shot quality edge, not a prediction.
SUI +1.00
SUI +2.00
SUI +2.00
10′ B. Embolo (goal)Normal Goalofficial-feed
Thursday, July 2nd / 11PM NYC
BC Place · Vancouver
2-0 · Switzerland
forecast · pre-match · ensemble[dixon-coles-goals+history-calibrated] v1.0.0
Switzerland · Algeria
Tocá cualquier país para ver su página y estado activo en el torneo.
Switzerland
Breel Donald EmboloDelantero / puntaStade Rennais (Rennes)
Dan Assane NdoyeExtremoNottingham Forest
Granit XhakaMediocampista defensivo / centralSunderland A.F.C.
Gregor KobelArqueroBorussia Dortmund
Manuel Obafemi AkanjiDefensor centralInter Milan (2025-26 season-long loan from Manchester City)
Ricardo Ivan Rodriguez ArayaLateral izquierdoReal Betis
Algeria
Aïssa MandiDefensor central (puede jugar de lateral derecho)Lille (Ligue 1)
Houssem AouarMediocampista ofensivo / centralAl-Ittihad (Saudi Pro League)
Luca Zinedine Zidane FernándezGoalkeeperGranada CF (Segunda Division), No.1
Mohamed El Amine AmouraDelantero / centrodelanteroVfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)
Rayan Aït-NouriLateral izquierdo / carrilero izquierdoManchester City (Premier League)
Riyad Karim MahrezExtremo derecho (zurdo, invertido)Al-Ahli (Saudi Pro League)
Switzerland are market-favored; the locked model is deliberately less comfortable.
The locked model has Switzerland at only 54.9% to advance, while sourced market references put Switzerland closer to the mid/high-60s. We show that divergence plainly: Switzerland have structure and rest, but Algeria carry enough scoring volatility that extra time and a one-moment swing remain live.
Switzerland 55% · Algeria 45%
The model says coin flip; the market has moved Switzerland materially higher. That disagreement is the whole match surface.
forecast · pre-match · ensemble[dixon-coles-goals+history-calibrated] v1.0.0Market benchmark now served: DraftKings/Polymarket-style references price Switzerland higher than the locked model, while still preserving a large draw/Algeria resistance band.+12.0 pts vs market
DraftKings opening 90-minute benchmark had Switzerland +105 / draw +235 / Algeria +300, while a current DraftKings Predictions page showed Switzerland -194 to advance and Algeria +194. Polymarket also showed Switzerland higher than Algeria but with a meaningful draw band. the locked model is lower than that market on Switzerland advance.
Markets are context; they do not enter the model's locked call.55% Who advances
Switzerland are the locked model side, but only narrowly. Market is more confident than the locked model.
90+ET+pens39% 90-minute Switzerland win
The model regulation win path is below 40%, so the late station is central.
reg9029% Extra-time corridor
Nearly three-in-ten in the locked model: penalties/ET are not decorative here.
reg9061% Algeria regulation resistance
The model says Algeria are live enough to keep the first 90 uncomfortable even if Switzerland advance later.
reg90FACT · ASwitzerland locked advance read is 54.9%.data/served/predictions/r32_13.json
FACT · ASwitzerland group form D-W-W; GF 7, GA 3.data/served/facts/teams/SUI.json
FACT · AAlgeria group form L-W-D; GF 5, GA 7.data/served/facts/teams/ALG.json
FACT · CMurat Yakin tactical record: Pragmatic/adaptable; back-three (3-4-2-1 / 3-4-3) or 4-2-3-1 by opponent, solidity + counterdata/served/facts/coaches/SUI.json
FACT · BManuel Obafemi Akanji role: Centre-backdata/served/facts/players/SUI_akanji.json
FACT · BRayan Aït-Nouri role: Left-back / left wing-backdata/served/facts/players/ALG_ait-nouri.json
FACT · CBC Place heat index baseline 22C.data/fixed/bracket.json
FACT · BDraftKings opening benchmark listed Switzerland +105, draw +235, Algeria +300 on the 90-minute moneyline.DraftKings Network, 2026-06-28
FACT · CCurrent DraftKings Predictions page showed Switzerland -194 to advance and Algeria +194; Polymarket showed Switzerland about 66.75c to advance.DraftKings Predictions / Polymarket public pages, 2026-07-02
FACT · CPublic previews note Switzerland topped Group B with seven points while Algeria advanced after a dramatic draw against Austria.Goal / public preview, 2026-07-02
- Official starting XIs are not promoted yet; predicted lineups remain unserved.
- Late injury/suspension sweep has not been promoted from an official source.
- Live odds may move pre-kickoff; this dossier stores the sourced pre-match benchmark, not a streaming odds feed.
- Switzerland: group form D-W-W, GF 7, GA 3; source API-Football team statistics.
- Algeria: group form L-W-D, GF 5, GA 7; source API-Football team statistics.
- BC Place in Vancouver carries a July heat-index baseline of 22C (C3) and altitude 5 m (A1).
- Coaches on file: Murat Yakin (SUI) and Vladimir Petković (ALG); served coach facts remain public-source graded.
- Switzerland group spine: D-W-W, seven goals for, three conceded in served team facts.
- Algeria group spine: L-W-D, five goals for, seven conceded in served team facts.
- Kickoff is 2026-07-02 11:00 PM ET at BC Place, Vancouver.
