FT
Timer editorial. El agregado oficial, el alargue y el pitazo final siempre dependen del feed oficial; esto nunca cambia el call bloqueado del modelo.
Matchday essentials
Spain vs Austria: kickoff, venue, model favorite and match route.
ESP advanced 3-0
Official feed confirms the result; advanced stat gaps remain visible instead of filled.
locked pre-match call graded against official resultESP +10.00
ESP +18.00
ESP +9.00
ESP +29.00pp
36′ Mikel Oyarzabal (goal)Goal! Spain 1, Austria 0. Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Marc Cucurella with a cross.ESPN public API
66′ Pedro Porro (goal)Goal! Spain 2, Austria 0. Pedro Porro (Spain) header from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Álex Baena.ESPN public API
89′ Mikel Oyarzabal (goal)Goal! Spain 3, Austria 0. Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Marc Cucurella.ESPN public API
Thursday, July 2nd / 3PM NYC
SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles
3-0 · Spain
forecast · pre-match · ensemble[dixon-coles-goals+history-calibrated] v1.0.0
Spain · Austria
Tocá cualquier país para ver su página y estado activo en el torneo.
Spain
Aymeric Jean Louis Gerard Alphonse LaporteDefensor central (líder defensivo; zurdo)Athletic Club (Bilbao)
GaviMediocampistaBarcelona
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui EbanaExtremo derecho (invertido, zurdo; puede jugar como delantero centro/mediocampista ofensivo)Barcelona
Mikel Oyarzabal UgarteDelantero (delantero centro / delantero por izquierda)Real Sociedad
Nicholas Williams Arthuer ("Nico Williams")Extremo izquierdo (diestro)Athletic Club (Bilbao)
Pedro Gonzalez Lopez ("Pedri")Mediocampista central (organizador de juego retrasado / número 8)Barcelona
RodriMediocampistaManchester City
Unai Simón MendibilGoalkeeper (Spain first-choice No.1 under Luis de la Fuente)Athletic Club (Bilbao)
Austria
Alexander SchlagerArqueroFC Red Bull Salzburg
David AlabaDefensor (defensor central; anteriormente lateral izquierdo)Real Madrid
Konrad LaimerMediocampista (central; también lateral derecho/lateral)Bayern Munich
Marcel SabitzerMediocampista (central/ofensivo; también mediocampista defensivo, segundo delantero)Borussia Dortmund
Marko ArnautovićDelantero (delantero centro)Red Star Belgrade (Crvena zvezda)
Nicolas SeiwaldMediocampista (defensivo/de contención)RB Leipzig
Spain should control possession and territory; Austria need fitness breaks and a low-margin script.
Spain are the clear favorite by market and model context: first in Group H, no goals conceded in the group, and roughly mid-80s de-vigged to advance from the CBS/FanDuel snapshot. Austria showed knockout nerve by escaping the group late, but the Alaba/Arnautovic availability conflict matters. Spain also carry offensive-depth absences, yet Nico Williams and Yeremy Pino are not the spine of the team. In a climate-neutral SoFi game, the hinge is whether Spain control becomes separation or Austria keep it close enough for the total/late-pressure corridor.
Spain 68% · Austria 32%
Spain enter as a clear favorite: Group H winners, no group goals conceded, and a market that prices Austria as a heavy underdog. The live edges are Austria availability and whether Spain turn control into margin.
forecast · pre-match · ensemble[dixon-coles-goals+history-calibrated] v1.0.0market snapshot served: CBS/FanDuel around 2026-07-01 had Spain -320 in 90 minutes and Spain -950 to advance. the locked model remains locked at 67.9% to advance; market benchmark is displayed, not blended.+19.0 pts vs market
CBS/FanDuel snapshot: Spain -320 in 90 minutes, draw +420 to +425, Austria +900 to +950; to advance Spain -950 / Austria +610. De-vigged advance benchmark is roughly 86.5% for Spain, materially above the locked model locked 67.9%. Exact live odds are UNCONFIRMED and should be pulled from Oddschecker or ESPN at render time.
Markets are context; they do not enter the model's locked call.68% Who advances
Spain are the locked model side to advance; market snapshot is even more Spain-heavy.
90+ET+pens54% 90-minute Spain win
Spain control is expected, but the locked model separates regulation win from full-tie advance; late/draw corridor remains non-trivial.
reg9026% Extra-time corridor
Austria need the match to stay narrow long enough that availability and pressure matter. The model draw band is 26.4%.
reg90Total 2.5 hinge
Market watch flags total O/U 2.5 as the market hinge. No served internal total probability is promoted yet, so this remains a watch item rather than a numeric call.
reg90FACT · ASpain locked advance read is 67.9%.data/served/predictions/r32_11.json
FACT · ASpain group form D-W-W; GF 5, GA 0.data/served/facts/teams/ESP.json
FACT · AAustria group form W-L-D; GF 6, GA 6.data/served/facts/teams/AUT.json
FACT · ALuis de la Fuente tactical record: Possession 4-3-3, more vertical/wing-led than classic tiki-taka; high press, ball dominance,data/served/facts/coaches/ESP.json
FACT · BAymeric Jean Louis Gerard Alphonse Laporte role: Centre-back (defensive leaderdata/served/facts/players/ESP_laporte.json
FACT · BDavid Alaba role: Defender (centre-backdata/served/facts/players/AUT_alaba.json
FACT · CSoFi Stadium heat index baseline 26C.data/fixed/bracket.json
FACT · ACBS/FanDuel snapshot around 2026-07-01 listed Spain -320, draw +420/+425, Austria +900/+950 in 90 minutes; to advance Spain -950 / Austria +610.source dossier citing CBS/FanDuel and CBS Sports source #2
FACT · AFixture verified as Spain v Austria, R32, 2026-07-02 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT at SoFi Stadium; referee Glenn Nyberg; US TV Fox/Telemundo.source dossier citing ESPN/CBS/NBC/Olympics.com/Al Jazeera
FACT · ASpain won Group H and conceded zero group-stage goals; sourced group results include 1-0 Uruguay, 0-0 Cape Verde, and win over Saudi Arabia.source dossier citing ESPN
FACT · BAustria advanced second in Group J with four points, including a late qualification-saving equalizer by Sasa Kalajdzic; exact Jordan/Algeria scorelines remain UNCONFIRMED.source dossier citing ESPN/public bracket sources
FACT · BNico Williams and Yeremy Pino are out/doubtful after injuries vs Uruguay; Victor Munoz muscular doubt is one-source and UNCONFIRMED.source dossier citing ESPN + Sports Mole
- Live odds are not pulled automatically yet; Render-time check uses render-time pull from Oddschecker or ESPN odds. Stored numbers are a 2026-07-01 snapshot.
- Official starting XIs are not promoted yet; predicted lineups remain unserved.
- Austria availability for Alaba/Arnautovic is conflicting and remains UNCONFIRMED/fluid until near kickoff.
- Victor Munoz doubt is one-source and remains UNCONFIRMED.
- Austria group scorelines vs Jordan/Algeria are UNCONFIRMED; outcomes are consistent.
- Spain: first in Group H, zero goals conceded in the group; sourced group points include Uruguay 1-0, Cape Verde 0-0, Saudi Arabia win.
- Austria: second in Group J behind Argentina, four points; advanced through late drama with a Sasa Kalajdzic 96th-minute equalizer after conceding at 93 minutes.
- Spain absences are offensive-depth hits (Nico Williams, Yeremy Pino) rather than the core spine; Victor Munoz remains UNCONFIRMED.
- Austria availability is the sharpest live check: Alaba and Arnautovic are doubts, with conflicting reporting.
- SoFi Stadium is effectively climate-protected for play; dry LA weather mainly affects travel/fans, not match conditions.
- Kickoff is 2026-07-02 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood/Los Angeles.
