Tiempo estimado restante
FT
Pitazo final confirmado por el feed
Final · reloj de producciónUSA 2-0 Bosnia

Timer editorial. El agregado oficial, el alargue y el pitazo final siempre dependen del feed oficial; esto nunca cambia el call bloqueado del modelo.

USA v BosniaMatch image pending

Approved photos or generated visuals appear here first.

R32 · R32_10

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco Bay · Wednesday, July 1st / 8PM NYC

Final2-0United States advanced
Matchday essentials

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: kickoff, venue, model favorite and match route.

KickoffWednesday, July 1st / 8PM NYC
Condiciones24C July baseline · C35m altitude · A1
Result receipt · HIT

USA made the stat line agree

USA +0.71 on xG and the final score both point toward the advancing side.

locked pre-match call graded against official result
xG edge

USA +0.71

Shot quality edge, not a prediction.

On-target edge

BIH +1.00

Shot volume

BIH +1.00

Corner pressure

USA +1.00

Puntos de giro
45′ F. Balogun (goal)Normal Goalofficial-feed
64′ F. Balogun (red)Red Cardofficial-feed
82′ M. Tillman (goal)Normal Goalofficial-feed
Hora / Día / Lugar

Wednesday, July 1st / 8PM NYC

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco Bay

Result

2-0 · United States

forecast · pre-match · ensemble[dixon-coles-goals+history-calibrated] v1.0.0

Projected players

United States

Christian Mate PulisicDelantero / extremo izquierdo (también mediocampista ofensivo)AC Milan
Folarin Jerry BalogunPunta / centrodelanteroAS Monaco
Matt TurnerArqueroNew England Revolution (on loan from Olympique Lyonnais / Lyon, through June 2026)
Timothy Tarpeh WeahExtremo / lateral derecho (versátil por ambas bandas y como carrilero)Olympique de Marseille
Tyler AdamsMediocampista defensivo (puede jugar de lateral por cualquier banda)AFC Bournemouth
Weston McKennieMediocampista central / box-to-box (también usado por la derecha y como carrilero)Juventus
Projected players

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Amar DedićLateral derecho (DF)S.L. Benfica (Primeira Liga)
Amir HadžiahmetovićMediocampista defensivo (MED)Beşiktaş J.K. (on loan at Hull City A.F.C. for 2025-26)
Edin DžekoDelantero (DEL)FC Schalke 04 (2. Bundesliga)
Ermedin DemirovićDelantero (DEL)VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
Nikola VasiljArquero (ARQ)FC St. Pauli (2. Bundesliga / Bundesliga)
Sead KolašinacDefensor — defensor central / lateral izquierdo (DEF)Atalanta BC (Serie A)
Match analysis

USA need this to stay a pressure match, not an Edin Dzeko match.

The model gives USA a clear but not absolute edge. Bosnia's upset path is a lower-event game that keeps a veteran finisher like Dzeko live deep into the night, or pushes the tie toward a late coin-toss phase. USA's job is to create enough volume that individual finishing variance never becomes the whole story.

Locked call

United States 78% · Bosnia & Herzegovina 22%

USA are the stronger model side and the correct favourite to advance. Bosnia's route is narrower, but it is real enough that this cannot be treated like a free pass.

locked ensemble forecast · served prediction contractNo served credible interval or vetted market benchmark yet; the surface keeps that gap visible.
Market context pending

Read-only market pending

No sourced market benchmark has been promoted yet. Until that exists, this surface shows only the model and the verified public-fact spine.

Markets are context; they do not enter the model's locked call.
C1 · high

78% Who advances

USA are a real favourite, but not in the England tier.

90+ET+pens
C2 · medium-high

64% 90-minute split

Most likely script is the host side getting the job done in 90, but Bosnia's draw tail is still a live 23%.

reg90
B1 · medium

36% Bosnia still alive after 90

That entire upset band is what USA must crush early rather than let drift.

reg90
Verified signals
FACT · AUSA carry a 77.8% advance probability in the locked forecast.data/served/predictions/r32_10.json
FACT · BFolarin Balogun already authored a World Cup brace for USA in this tournament.served player fact
FACT · BChristian Pulisic entered with 33 international goals in 88 caps.served player fact
FACT · BBosnia reached the tournament through playoff penalties over Wales and Italy.served coach record
FACT · BEdin Dzeko still gives Bosnia a one-chance swing factor with 73 international goals.served player fact
Latest news to watch
  • No full operator dossier or market benchmark has been attached yet.
  • No confirmed XI or late-match fitness sweep has been promoted into this contract yet.
  • The richer tactical matchup layer is still pending a sourced dossier or scout brief.
Context gems
  • This is the only one of today's three where the bracket explicitly gives the home side to the host nation.
  • Bosnia's qualification path already proved they can survive coin-flip knockout endings.
  • The match environment is clean enough that the football story should decide it rather than climate.
ENES